"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity." - Darrell Royal
Question #91981 posted on 01/28/2019 3:34 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

I was intrigued by guppy of doom’s answer in regards to the prevalence or lack thereof in regards to plastic surgery among latter-day saint women. What particularly caught my attention, in the survey she referenced and the bar graph in that article
https://religionnews.com/2017/03/17/mormon-women-have-more-cosmetic-surgery-or-not/
were the statistics in regards to cosmetic surgery for men.

Compared to the nation as a whole, according to that survey, latter-day saint women as a whole have almost the exact same rate of self-reported plastic surgery procedures as people in the general population. It’s three-tenths of a point higher.. (Slightly higher than national percentage numbers in the over 50 aging bodies crowd, slightly lower in younger age groups, averaging out to the three tenths of a percent difference.)

However, though men in general undergo cosmetic surgery less often than women do, according to the poll, latter-day saint men undergo cosmetic surgery at a rate that is 2% points higher and twice as high (4% vs. 2%) than do men in the U.S. in general.

Any idea what’s going on there?





~

A:

Dear you,

Probs due to a smaller sample size that's susceptible to higher variance. That's just my intuition, though.

~Anathema

A:

Dear you,

I tried to find the data to run it myself. And while I found where it's from (the Next Mormons survey), unfortunately "The data is currently being analyzed by the survey authors for research purposes. They are tentatively planning to publicly release the data for other interested researchers sometime after 2020." However, according to the site, due to the sample sizes the survey margin of error is about 3%. I think it might even be higher in looking at men who undergo cosmetic surgery (because that's such a low number). So really, the number of LDS men who undergo cosmetic surgery could be anywhere from 1% to 5% (and that's just going off the overall survey margin of error). Anathema's intuition is exactly right - we can't say if there is or isn't a difference due to the sample size and variance. The numbers are too close, especially when including the margin of error, that we can't conclude there's a significant difference between LDS and non-LDS men.

-guppy of doom